Geopolitics prediction markets
Odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, Crypto.com, OG.com, ProphetX and Novig, compared side by side.Odds compared across venues. Not financial advice.
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All Geopolitics events
Open Geopolitics events with live odds across the platforms we track, ranked by all-time volume. Page 1 of 10. Refreshed hourly.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$79.8M
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$46.2M
- Iran leader end of 2026?$40.8M
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$36.1M
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$29.8M
- Putin out as President of Russia by...?$29.0M
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?$23.7M
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?$22.0M
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$17.2M
- Trump out as President before 2027?$14.6M
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$11.0M
- NATO x Russia military clash by...?$8.9M
- Iran leadership change by...?$8.8M
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?$7.7M
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?$6.6M
- How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?$5.7M
- US military action against Cuba by...?$5.5M
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?$4.3M
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?$4.1M
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$3.9M
- US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?$3.9M
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?$3.8M
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$3.7M
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$3.7M
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M
- Netanyahu out by...?$3.5M
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?$3.5M
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by...?$3.1M
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?$3.0M
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?$2.9M
- France declares state of emergency by...?$2.9M
- Next leader out of power before 2027?$2.9M
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?$2.8M
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?$2.8M
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?$2.8M
- Pete Hegseth out in 2026?$2.8M
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?$2.7M
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?$2.7M
- US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?$2.5M
- Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?$2.3M
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$2.2M
- Will Alberta join the US?$2.2M
- Will Hezbollah disarm by...?$2.1M
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?$2.0M
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?$2.0M
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.9M
- Iran full airspace closure by...?$1.8M
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?$1.8M
- What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$1.7M
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?$1.7M
Prices are aggregated from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, Crypto.com, OG.com, ProphetX and Novig and can move at any time. Not financial advice.