Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

    Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro) Live odds across 22 markets: Netanyahu - Israel PM at 40¢. Resolves Dec 31, 2026. Not financial advi

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    TRADING OPEN
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    Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $217.0K

    +$1.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    22

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    40¢

    Netanyahu - Israel PM

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +2¢

    Netanyahu - Israel PM

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    22 markets · Showing 22
    #
    140¢40¢
    $22.0K+$447 24h
    +2¢
    235¢35¢
    $77.9K+$76 24h
    +1¢
    3
    $9.5K+$23 24h
    4
    $4.8K+$23 24h
    -1¢
    5
    $8.3K+$23 24h
    -2¢
    6
    $5.2K+$102 24h
    7
    $6.1K+$23 24h
    -1¢
    8
    $5.6K+$23 24h
    -1¢
    9
    $5.7K+$31 24h
    10
    $4.2K+$23 24h
    -2¢
    11
    $8.3K+$23 24h
    -2¢
    12
    $6.2K+$23 24h
    -1¢
    13
    $8.6K+$23 24h
    14
    $5.7K+$23 24h
    -1¢
    15
    $5.3K+$29 24h
    16
    $4.4K+$23 24h
    17
    $5.2K+$23 24h
    18
    $5.5K+$23 24h
    19
    $3.8K+$23 24h
    20
    $5.1K+$23 24h
    21
    $5.4K+$23 24h
    22
    $4.1K+$23 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Netanyahu - Israel PM
    40%
    40¢+2¢
    2None before 2027
    35%
    35¢+1¢
    3Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
    4Merz - German Chancellor
    -1¢
    5Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
    -2¢
    6Sánchez - Spanish PM
    7Abbas - President of Palestine
    -1¢
    8Lula da Silva - Brazil President
    -1¢
    9Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
    10Trump - USA President
    -2¢
    11Macron - France President
    -2¢
    12Lecornu - France PM
    -1¢
    13Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
    14Putin - Russia President
    -1¢
    15Erdoğan - Türkiye President
    16Takaichi - Japan PM
    17Albanese - Australia PM
    18Sheinbaum - Mexico President
    19Newsom - California Governor
    20Milei - Argentina President
    21al-Sharaa - Syria President
    22Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~128 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    22
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $217.0K

    Whale Activity

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