TRADING OPEN

    Next leader out of power before 2027?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $1.4M

    +$55.5K (24h)

    Active Markets

    22

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    47¢

    None before 2027

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +4¢

    Netanyahu - Israel PM

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    22 markets
    #
    147¢47¢
    $204.5K+$1.1K 24h
    ——
    232¢32¢
    $322.0K+$33.1K 24h
    +4¢—
    36¢6¢
    $57.7K+$238 24h
    ——
    43¢3¢
    $40.1K+$610 24h
    ——
    53¢3¢
    $64.8K+$1.4K 24h
    -1¢—
    62¢2¢
    $45.2K+$227 24h
    +1¢—
    72¢2¢
    $37.6K+$180 24h
    ——
    82¢2¢
    $45.0K+$407 24h
    ——
    91¢1¢
    $50.1K+$3.3K 24h
    ——
    101¢1¢
    $45.8K+$1.3K 24h
    ——
    111¢1¢
    $37.0K+$279 24h
    ——
    121¢1¢
    $50.4K+$301 24h
    ——
    131¢1¢
    $39.7K+$800 24h
    ——
    141¢1¢
    $41.9K+$2.9K 24h
    ——
    151¢1¢
    $52.5K+$1.2K 24h
    ——
    160¢0¢
    $37.7K+$3.0K 24h
    ——
    170¢0¢
    $41.8K+$2.5K 24h
    ——
    18
    Takaichi - Japan PM📈 Trending
    0¢0¢
    $44.7K+$927 24h
    ——
    190¢0¢
    $46.6K+$441 24h
    ——
    200¢0¢
    $42.5K+$245 24h
    ——
    210¢0¢
    $42.1K+$1.1K 24h
    ——
    220¢0¢
    $37.3K+$80 24h
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1None before 2027
    47%
    47¢—
    2Netanyahu - Israel PM
    32%
    32¢+4¢
    3Sánchez - Spanish PM
    6¢—
    4Lecornu - France PM
    3¢—
    5Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
    3¢-1¢
    6Trump - USA President
    2¢+1¢
    7Abbas - President of Palestine
    2¢—
    8Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
    2¢—
    9Merz - German Chancellor
    1¢—
    10Macron - France President
    1¢—
    11Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
    1¢—
    12Lula da Silva - Brazil President
    1¢—
    13Putin - Russia President
    1¢—
    14Erdoğan - Türkiye President
    1¢—
    15Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
    1¢—
    16al-Sharaa - Syria President
    0¢—
    17Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
    0¢—
    18Takaichi - Japan PM
    0¢—
    19Milei - Argentina President
    0¢—
    20Albanese - Australia PM
    0¢—
    21Newsom - California Governor
    0¢—
    22Sheinbaum - Mexico President
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~72 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    22
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $1.4M

    Whale Activity

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