How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

    4 leads by 74 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. 4#182%
    2. 5#28%
    3. 6#33%
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $5.7M
    24h
    $239
    Candidates
    12
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 12 markets

    Who’s winning

    • 482%
    • 58%
    • 63%
    • 71%
    • 101%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. 424h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. 524h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    4$1.5M vol82%▼ 5Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US87¢no fee
    5$550.8K vol8%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US11¢no fee
    6$653.7K vol3%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢no fee
    7$621.0K vol1%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢no fee
    10$402.1K vol1%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢no fee
    8$533.3K vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢no fee
    9$239.1K vol<1%——
    12$233.7K vol<1%——
    15+$205.1K vol<1%——
    11$145.1K vol<1%——

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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