Beta
    LIVE
    8s

    How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $4.7M

    +$4.7K (24h)

    Active Markets

    12

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    44¢

    4

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    6

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    12 markets · Showing 8
    #
    1
    4📈 Trending
    		44¢45¢
    $1.2M+$2.5K 24h
    		-1¢—
    2
    5📈 Trending
    		32¢36¢
    $509.9K+$522 24h
    		-1¢—
    3
    6📈 Trending
    		7¢10¢
    $639.0K+$411 24h
    		-4¢—
    4
    7
    		4¢4¢
    $613.1K+$5 24h
    		-1¢—
    5
    8
    		3¢4¢
    $526.4K+$5 24h
    		——
    6
    10
    		2¢3¢
    $393.8K+$10 24h
    		-1¢—
    7
    11
    		1¢2¢
    $131.1K+$5 24h
    		-1¢—
    8
    9
    		1¢2¢
    $232.5K+$5 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    14
    44%
    44¢-1¢
    25
    32%
    32¢-1¢
    36
    7¢-4¢
    47
    4¢-1¢
    58
    3¢—
    610
    2¢-1¢
    711
    1¢-1¢
    89
    1¢—
    915+
    0¢—
    1013
    0¢—
    1112
    0¢—
    1214
    0¢—

    Price History

    456
    May 26 12:00May 27 15:00May 28 18:00May 29 22:00May 31 01:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:290.0%15.0%30.0%53.0%

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    Will Israel Strike Exactly Four Countries in 2026?

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Israel air raids in Lebanon escalate tensions, impact peace deal prospects

    1 minEstefano Gomez
    Politics

    Israel conducts 1,600 strikes on Iran in 4 days of war, weathers Iranian missile and drones - FDD's Long War Journal

    1 minSeth Frantzman
    Politics

    Iran Update: US and Israeli Strikes, Feb. 28, 2026 | ISW

    1 minNadia Sleiman
    Politics

    Israel/US-Iran conflict 2026: Background and UK response - House of Commons Library

    1 minPhilip Loft
    Politics

    Israel fires more than 120 airstrikes at Lebanon and says it is escalating offensive

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    WATCH: Over 800 strikes, 16,000 munitions on Iran thus far | The Jerusalem Post

    1 minUnknown

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~212 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    12
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $4.7M

    Whale Activity

    No whale trades detected yet

    Timeline

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 9.5% in 24h

      11 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 14.5% in 24h

      6 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 7:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 20.0% in 24h

      10 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 6:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.1% in 24h

      6 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 5:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 20.5% in 24h

      6 · Polymarket