TRADING OPEN

    Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2027
    Total Volume

    $2.8M

    +$5.2K (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    34¢

    December 31, 2027

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    June 30, 2027

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 open
    #
    1
    December 31, 2027
    		34¢34¢
    $233+$215 24h
    		+2¢—
    2
    June 30, 2027
    		24¢24¢
    $60
    		-4¢—
    3
    March 31, 2027
    		20¢20¢
    $915+$158 24h
    		-2¢—
    4
    December 31, 2026
    		7¢7¢
    $2.3M+$4.5K 24h
    		-1¢—
    5
    November 30, 2026
    		4¢4¢
    $556
    		——
    6
    October 31, 2026
    		2¢2¢
    $140.8K+$314 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1December 31, 2027
    34%
    34¢+2¢
    2June 30, 2027
    24%
    24¢-4¢
    3March 31, 2027
    20%
    20¢-2¢
    4December 31, 2026
    7¢-1¢
    5November 30, 2026
    4¢—
    6October 31, 2026
    2¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2027

    ~451 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    7
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $2.8M

    Whale Activity

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