
Pete Hegseth out in 2026?
14% chance · up 1 pts today
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- Volume
- $2.8M
- 24h
- $249.2K
- Liquidity
- $78.8K
Chance over time
Yes price, by venueDeposit $10, get $25
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Signals
1 signal- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?24h16¢ apart across venues


Every venue’s price
2 venuesEach share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.
Smart money
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How each venue settles it
Polymarket (global)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The re…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗About this market
Will Pete Hegseth leave office in 2026?
- Category
- Politics
- Resolves
- Thu, December 31, 2026