Geopolitics

    US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

    November 5 leads by 1 pt · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. November 5#1>99%
    2. November 6#299%
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $3.9M
    24h
    $1.8M
    Candidates
    2
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 6 markets

    Who’s winning

    • November 5>99%
    • November 699%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    November 5$258.2K vol>99%——
    November 6$784.5K vol99%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US99¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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