Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

    Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Live odds across 5 markets: December 31 at 22¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $7.4M

    +$112.9K (24h)

    Active Markets

    5

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    22¢

    December 31

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +1¢

    September 30

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    5 markets · Showing 4
    #
    122¢22¢
    $751.4K+$42.5K 24h
    217¢17¢
    $331.9K+$21.9K 24h
    +1¢
    3
    $3.0M+$36.4K 24h
    +1¢
    4
    $799.4K+$12.1K 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1December 31
    22%
    22¢
    2October 31
    17%
    17¢+1¢
    3September 30
    +1¢
    4September 15

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~109 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    5
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $7.4M

    Whale Activity

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