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    Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $19.2M

    +$51.7K (24h)

    Active Markets

    1

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    13¢

    Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

    Biggest Mover 24h

    —

    No movement

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    1 markets · Showing 1
    #
    1
    Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
    		13¢13¢
    $19.2M+$51.7K 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
    13%
    13¢—

    Price History

    Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
    May 26 12:00May 27 15:00May 28 18:00May 29 22:00May 31 01:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:297.5%11.5%15.5%21.5%

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    How Long Can the Iranian Regime Hold On? | Foreign Affairs

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    US intelligence doubts Iran regime will fall | The Jerusalem Post

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Will Iran collapse? - UnHerd

    1 minChristopher de Bellaigue
    Politics

    Khamenei's Death A Major Blow But Collapse Of Iran's Clerical Establishment Not Guaranteed

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    After Khamenei: Washington Doubts Iran’s Regime Will Collapse Soon - Modern Diplomacy

    1 minSana Khan
    Politics

    The Wartime Iranian Government Is More Unified Than Ever With the Public

    1 minAli Hashem
    Politics

    Iran Power Struggle Deepens: Economic Crisis, Nuclear Standoff and Infighting Expose Fractures in Tehran’s Leadership

    1 minJay Hilotin
    Politics

    Why Iran’s regime did not collapse | The Jerusalem Post

    1 minUnknown

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~212 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    1
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $19.2M

    Whale Activity

    Mega

    bought $81K No on Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

    polymarket · 27 days ago

    Mega

    bought $68K No on Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

    polymarket · 10 days ago

    Mega

    bought $57K No on Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

    polymarket · about 1 month ago

    Mega

    bought $57K No on Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

    polymarket · 16 days ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveJun 2, 12:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 7.1% in 24h

      Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Polymarket

    • NewsJun 2, 12:00 AM

      Market reaction: volume spike (2.0x) and significant price move (7.1% in 24h)

      Polymarket

      +7% move
    • Volume SpikeJun 2, 12:00 AM

      Whale activity: Large block trades push volume to 2.0x normal (100% above 7-day average)

      Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 1, 11:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 7.1% in 24h

      Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 1, 10:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 7.1% in 24h

      Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Polymarket