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    Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $18.0M

    +$64.7K (24h)

    Active Markets

    1

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    18¢

    Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -2¢

    Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    1 markets · Showing 1
    #24H
    1
    Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?📈 Trending
    		18¢18¢
    $18.0M+$64.7K 24h
    		-2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
    18%
    18¢-2¢

    Price History

    Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
    May 13 10:00May 14 13:00May 15 17:00May 16 20:00May 17 23:00May 19 08:2611.5%15.5%19.5%24.5%

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    Iran’s Regime May Survive Khamenei’s Death, U.S. Strikes

    1 minAlireza Nader, Nik Kowsar
    Politics

    How Long Can the Iranian Regime Hold On? - Foreign Affairs

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Iran's regime was teetering. This war could be keeping it from collapse | The Times of Israel

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    With Ayatollah Khamenei dead, what will it take for Iran’s regime to collapse? | The Independent

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Is the Iranian regime on the verge of collapse? - Monocle

    1 minInzamam Rashid
    Politics

    FM Sa'ar to ToI: Only Iranians can bring down regime, but they need outside help | The Times of Israel

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Iran’s December 2025 – January 2026 Protest Wave - Miaan Group

    1 minTori Egherman
    Politics

    Why Iran is collapsing - New Statesman

    1 minLawrence Freedman

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~226 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    1
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $18.0M

    Whale Activity

    Mega

    bought $81K No on Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

    polymarket · 13 days ago

    Mega

    bought $57K No on Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

    polymarket · 17 days ago

    Mega

    bought $57K No on Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

    polymarket · 2 days ago

    Whale

    bought $50K No on Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

    polymarket · 13 days ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 10.0% in 24h

      Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 7:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 10.0% in 24h

      Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 6:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 10.0% in 24h

      Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 5:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.0% in 24h

      Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 4:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.0% in 24h

      Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Polymarket