TRADING OPEN

    Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2027
    Total Volume

    $6.2M

    +$292.2K (24h)

    Active Markets

    15

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    71¢

    December 31, 2027

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +6¢

    January 31, 2027

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    15 markets
    #
    171¢71¢
    $49.9K+$758 24h
    +2¢—
    268¢68¢
    $6.3K+$672 24h
    +3¢—
    3
    October 31, 2027📈 Trending
    66¢66¢
    $70.4K+$934 24h
    +3¢—
    4
    September 30, 2027📈 Trending
    63¢63¢
    $3.1K+$523 24h
    +4¢—
    5
    August 31, 2027📈 Trending
    60¢60¢
    $2.4K+$281 24h
    +3¢—
    6
    July 31, 2027📈 Trending
    58¢58¢
    $4.4K+$323 24h
    +4¢—
    7
    June 30, 2027📈 Trending
    56¢56¢
    $173.8K+$6.8K 24h
    +4¢—
    853¢53¢
    $107.9K+$52.1K 24h
    +3¢—
    944¢44¢
    $14.2K+$4.9K 24h
    +5¢—
    10
    March 31, 2027📈 Trending
    37¢37¢
    $222.9K+$26.9K 24h
    +4¢—
    1132¢32¢
    $31.7K+$1.4K 24h
    +5¢—
    1227¢27¢
    $126.3K+$16.8K 24h
    +6¢—
    1321¢21¢
    $2.9M+$32.2K 24h
    +3¢—
    14
    November 30📈 Trending
    14¢14¢
    $77.8K+$12.8K 24h
    +3¢—
    15
    October 31📈 Trending
    2¢2¢
    $2.4M+$134.8K 24h
    -3¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1December 31, 2027
    71%
    71¢+2¢
    2November 30, 2027
    68%
    68¢+3¢
    3October 31, 2027
    66%
    66¢+3¢
    4September 30, 2027
    63%
    63¢+4¢
    5August 31, 2027
    60%
    60¢+3¢
    6July 31, 2027
    58%
    58¢+4¢
    7June 30, 2027
    56%
    56¢+4¢
    8May 31, 2027
    53%
    53¢+3¢
    9April 30, 2027
    44%
    44¢+5¢
    10March 31, 2027
    37%
    37¢+4¢
    11February 28, 2027
    32%
    32¢+5¢
    12January 31, 2027
    27%
    27¢+6¢
    13December 31
    21%
    21¢+3¢
    14November 30
    14%
    14¢+3¢
    15October 31
    2¢-3¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2027

    ~437 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    15
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $6.2M

    Whale Activity

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