Geopolitics

    Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

    Jared Kushner leads by 1 pt · 16 candidates at 5%+

    1. Jared Kushner#139%
    2. Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani#238%
    3. Steve Witkoff#337%
    #4 Abbas Araghchi37%#5 J.D. Vance32%+19 more
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $1.7M
    24h
    $3.7K
    Candidates
    24
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 24 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Jared Kushner39%
    • Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani38%
    • Steve Witkoff37%
    • Abbas Araghchi37%
    • J.D. Vance32%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Majid Takht-Ravanchi24h
      ▼ 22¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Mohsen Rezaei24h
      ▼ 15¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. Rafael Grossi24h
      ▼ 8¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Jared Kushner$110.8K vol39%▲ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US39¢no fee
    Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani$195.0K vol38%▲ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US41¢no fee
    Steve Witkoff$258.0K vol37%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US38¢no fee
    Abbas Araghchi$29.1K vol37%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US38¢no fee
    J.D. Vance$106.9K vol32%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US33¢no fee
    Kazem Gharibabadi$64.3K vol31%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US32¢no fee
    Majid Takht-Ravanchi$70.0K vol29%▼ 22Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US31¢no fee
    Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf$141.6K vol29%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US30¢no fee
    Rafael Grossi$87.0K vol27%▼ 8Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US36¢no fee
    Nick Stewart$58.8K vol23%▼ 6Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US24¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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