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    US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $13.0M

    +$341.6K (24h)

    Active Markets

    3

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    26¢

    December 31

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -1¢

    May 31

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    3 markets · Showing 3
    #24H
    1
    December 31
    		26¢26¢
    $556.5K+$6.1K 24h
    		-1¢—
    2
    June 30
    		12¢12¢
    $230.9K+$36.5K 24h
    		-1¢—
    3
    May 31
    		5¢5¢
    $12.3M+$298.9K 24h
    		-1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1December 31
    26%
    26¢-1¢
    2June 30
    12%
    12¢-1¢
    3May 31
    5¢-1¢

    Price History

    December 31June 30
    May 9 20:00May 10 23:00May 12 02:00May 13 05:00May 14 08:00May 15 19:565.5%12.5%19.5%26.5%33.5%

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    Capturing Iran’s highly enriched uranium would require a large US ground force, sources say | CNN Politics

    1 minNatasha Bertrand, Zachary Cohen, Haley Britzky, Avery Schmitz
    Politics

    What a U.S. Operation to Get Iran's Uranium Would Look Like

    1 minJohn Haltiwanger
    Politics

    What it could take for the U.S. to remove highly enriched uranium from Iran - CBS News

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    US seizes enriched uranium (but not Iran's) | World Israel News

    1 minYossi Licht
    Politics

    US seizes Venezuela’s enriched uranium amid standoff with Iran

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Venezuela: US Removes Enriched Uranium from Obsolete Nuclear Reactor - Venezuelanalysis

    1 minricardo
    Politics

    US Military Briefs President Trump on Plan to Seize Nearly 1,000 Pounds of Highly Enriched Uranium from Iran

    1 minA Kumar

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~230 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    3
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $13.0M

    Whale Activity

    Mega

    bought $233K No on May 31

    polymarket · 1 day ago

    Mega

    bought $140K No on May 31

    polymarket · 14 days ago

    Whale

    bought $47K No on May 31

    polymarket · 1 day ago

    Whale

    sold $38K No on May 31

    polymarket · 2 days ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 7.7% in 24h

      June 30 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 16.7% in 24h

      May 31 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 15, 6:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 16.7% in 24h

      May 31 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 15, 5:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 16.7% in 24h

      May 31 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 15, 4:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 16.7% in 24h

      May 31 · Polymarket