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    Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $33.6M

    +$259.3K (24h)

    Active Markets

    1

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    17¢

    Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -1¢

    Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    1 markets · Showing 1
    #
    1
    Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    		17¢17¢
    $33.6M+$259.3K 24h
    		-1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    17%
    17¢-1¢

    Price History

    Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    May 26 12:00May 27 15:00May 28 18:00May 29 22:00May 31 01:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:299.5%14.5%19.5%28.5%

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    US warns Iran of military action if ceasefire deal rejected

    1 minEstefano Gomez
    Politics

    Trump’s Iran Bind Deepens With Hormuz Shut and Hawks Pushing War - Bloomberg

    1 minCourtney McBride
    Politics

    Iran says return to war with US unlikely as it reviews draft peace deal | The Straits Times

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    US defense vulnerabilities reduce likelihood of Iran invasion: WSJ

    1 minEstefano Gomez
    Politics

    Polymarket odds of US invading Iran this year reach 63% after Trump's post — TradingView News

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Trump says deal with Iran, including opening Strait of Hormuz, is 'largely negotiated' | PBS News

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    'I don't care about the midterms': Trump makes clear he's in no rush to reach deal with Iran - ABC News

    1 minABC News

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~212 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    1
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $33.6M

    Whale Activity

    Mega

    sold $85K No on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

    polymarket · 17 days ago

    Mega

    sold $85K No on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

    polymarket · 23 days ago

    Mega

    bought $54K No on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

    polymarket · 24 days ago

    Whale

    bought $46K No on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

    polymarket · 11 days ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.6% in 24h

      Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 7:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.6% in 24h

      Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 6:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.6% in 24h

      Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 5:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.6% in 24h

      Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 4:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.6% in 24h

      Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Polymarket