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    Disclaimer: PredictionMarkets.us provides arbitrage information, market data, and educational content for informational purposes only. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, profitability, availability, or timeliness of any opportunities displayed on this page. PredictionMarkets.us is not responsible for: trading losses or financial damages, incorrect or outdated odds/pricing, delays in market updates, platform outages or exchange errors, failed trades or execution issues, account restrictions or limitations imposed by third-party platforms, changes in market conditions, tax or legal consequences resulting from trading activity. Users are solely responsible for conducting their own research and making their own financial decisions. Trading prediction markets involves risk, and past performance or displayed arbitrage opportunities do not guarantee future results. PredictionMarkets.us is not a broker, financial advisor, investment advisor, or gambling operator.

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    For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

    1. Home
    2. Journalism

    Prediction market tools for newsrooms

    Cross-platform data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt — built for reporters who need a defensible price, not a screenshot.

    Open API ExplorerPress & Media

    Available now

    These tools are live and ready to use.

    API Explorer

    Live

    Interactive docs for our cross-platform data API. Search markets, pull odds history, check liquidity, and find arbitrage — all from one normalized endpoint.

    Draft Analyzer

    Live

    Paste a draft and instantly match its claims to live markets across platforms. See where your numbers hold up — and where they don't.

    Market Timeline

    Live

    Overlay price moves with headline moments. Show your editor when a market reacted, not just where it ended up.

    Liquidity Check

    Live

    Instantly assess whether a price is backed by real depth or sitting on a thin book. Don't cite noise.

    Coming soon

    Shipping in phases, starting with the highest-leverage newsroom workflows.

    Phase 2

    Suggest a Market

    See a story that doesn't have a prediction market yet? Flag it. We'll route it to the platforms.

    Why journalists use this

    Prediction markets are useful in reporting when they're framed honestly. That means understanding both the price and the market structure behind it.

    Not every quote is worth citing

    A 62% price means very different things in a deep market versus a sleepy one. We surface the context so you can tell the difference.

    Divergence is often the story

    When platforms disagree, that spread is worth investigating — different traders, different liquidity, or different contract wording.

    Deadline-friendly

    Find the right market, get a defensible price, and understand the cross-platform picture — in minutes, not hours.

    Multi-platform by default

    A newsroom that only checks one venue is going to miss pricing disagreements, structural quirks, and what the broader market actually believes.

    Last reviewed 2026-05-11

    Before you cite a prediction-market price, build the citation card

    A market quote supports a time-stamped statement about what traders on that venue priced. Check liquidity, contract wording, resolution source, and audience availability before treating the price as evidence. Cross-platform agreement is stronger than a single-platform quote.

    Copy-safe language

    “At [time checked], [platform] traders priced [exact market question] at about [price]. Treat that as a market signal, not a forecast guarantee: check liquidity, contract wording, resolution source, and audience availability before citing it as evidence.”

    Required citation fields
    Market question

    Copy the exact market question or contract title. Similar event names are not enough.

    Official market rules or resolution text
    Official contract terms or rulebook
    Platform / venue

    Name the platform or underlying venue shown to the user. Use current official platform copy or the venue label shown on the market page.

    Official platform copy
    Price + timestamp

    Record the displayed probability or best available quote with the exact check time. Do not imply the price is live after publication.

    Official market page
    Timestamped market snapshot
    Liquidity context

    Capture volume, open interest, depth, or a clear 'not available' state. Thin markets are weaker evidence.

    Official market page
    Liquidity/depth check
    PredictionMarkets.US citation discipline guide
    Resolution rule / source

    Quote or link the rule source that determines settlement. Do not rely on the headline alone.

    Official market rules or resolution text
    Official contract terms or rulebook
    PredictionMarkets.US citation discipline guide
    Availability caveat

    Say whether the market is available to the audience you are writing for only when verified from current official platform copy or the market page itself.

    Official platform copy
    PredictionMarkets.US citation discipline guide
    What the quote can support

    A market price can support 'traders on this venue priced X at Y at time Z.' It cannot alone prove the event is likely, legal, safe, or broadly available.

    When to Trust a Prediction Market Price guide
    PredictionMarkets.US citation discipline guide
    What this quote cannot prove
    • Do not call a single platform quote 'the prediction market' without cross-platform context.
    • Do not imply a thin market is a reliable probability estimate.
    • Do not imply the quote stayed at the same level after the timestamp.
    • Do not say a market is available to US users unless that availability is verified from current official platform copy or the market page itself.
    • Do not cite competitor/affiliate pages as factual support in rendered page copy.
    Next newsroom checks
    Run liquidity check

    Look for depth, spread, and thin-book caveats before you quote the price.

    Open workflow
    When to trust a price

    Use the editorial framework for deciding whether a market signal is cite-worthy.

    Open workflow
    API Explorer

    Pull normalized market data and compare venues before treating one quote as the story.

    Open workflow

    How PredictionMarkets.US is different

    This isn't a trading terminal. It's reporting infrastructure.

    Cross-platform by default

    PredictionMarkets.US

    Shows Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt side by side — with more platforms coming soon.

    Typical single-platform workflow

    Most journalism tools start from a single platform view and treat that quote as the market.

    Divergence as signal

    PredictionMarkets.US

    When prices separate, we treat that spread as something worth investigating and explaining — not smoothing over.

    Typical single-platform workflow

    Most tools hide disagreements instead of showing where consensus breaks down.

    Built for citation discipline

    PredictionMarkets.US

    Every workflow is designed around defendable reporting: what the question was, where the price came from, and why it moved.

    Typical single-platform workflow

    Most market pages are built for trading, not for publication-grade sourcing.

    Why cross-platform sourcing matters

    PredictionMarkets.US pulls odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt simultaneously — so your story reflects the full market, not one platform's user base. Our tools have no affiliation with any exchange.

    How to cite prediction market data When to trust a prediction market price Oracle transparency

    FAQ

    Before you cite a price

    Three checks before quoting a prediction market:

    1. Liquid enough? A thin book can show wild numbers. Check depth.
    2. Do platforms agree? If Kalshi says 62% and Polymarket says 71%, that spread matters.
    3. Does the wording match your claim? "By June 30" and "by end of year" are not the same market.

    Miss any of those and you're citing a market more confidently than it deserves.

    Related reading

    Guides that help reporters interpret market quotes honestly.

    All articles

    When to Trust a Prediction Market Price

    Framework for deciding when a market quote is cite-worthy versus noise.

    Journalism Liquidity Check

    Depth, spread, and timestamp checks before a newsroom quotes market odds.

    How Prediction Market Prices Work

    Exchange math, spreads, and why displayed odds can mislead casual readers.

    Why a Chart Looks Wrong After Close

    Useful when a chart and the final settlement appear to contradict each other.

    Press & Media Resources

    Attribution guidelines, press contacts, and data access for newsrooms.

    Developer API (Coming Soon)

    Cross-platform prediction market API — normalized data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more in one call.

    Prediction Markets vs. Polls

    When to cite markets over polling data — and when to use both.