Geopolitics

    Will Russia invade another country by...?

    December 31, 2027 leads by 16 pts

    1. December 31, 2027#118%
    2. December 31, 2026#22%
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2027
    Volume
    $770.5K
    24h
    $11.3K
    Candidates
    2
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 2 markets

    Who’s winning

    • December 31, 202718%
    • December 31, 20262%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    December 31, 2027$84.0K vol18%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US19¢no fee
    December 31, 2026$686.5K vol2%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, December 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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