Geopolitics

    Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

    June 30, 2027 leads by 20 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+

    1. June 30, 2027#154%
    2. March 31, 2027#234%
    3. December 31#36%
    #4 November 303%
    Resolves
    Jun 30, 2027
    Volume
    $1.5M
    24h
    $3.7K
    Candidates
    4
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 5 markets

    Who’s winning

    • June 30, 202754%
    • March 31, 202734%
    • December 316%
    • November 303%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    June 30, 2027$82.9K vol54%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US55¢no fee
    March 31, 2027$190.0K vol34%▲ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US34¢no fee
    December 31$1.1M vol6%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢no fee
    November 30$9.5K vol3%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

    Loading trades…

    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, June 30, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

    More in Geopolitics

    All Geopolitics