Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? — November 30

    3% chance

    Yes3%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes3¢no fee
    No97%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo98¢no fee
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $9.5K
    24h
    $297
    Liquidity
    $17.1K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

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    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes3%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢no fee
    No97%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US98¢no fee

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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 3¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.528896° N, 37.702514° E) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Kostyantynivka will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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