Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? — June 30, 2027

54% chance

Yes54%

Buy Yes55¢no fee

No46%

Buy No47¢no fee

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027
Volume: $82.9K
24h: $5
Liquidity: $13.3K

Listed on 1 venue

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Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

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1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes54%—55¢

55¢no fee

No46%—47¢

47¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.528896° N, 37.702514° E) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Kostyantynivka will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
Resolves: Wed, June 30, 2027