Science & Tech

    When will any company achieve AGI?

    Before Jan 1, 2030 leads by 2 pts · 12 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Before Jan 1, 2030#180%
    2. Before Jan 1, 2031#278%
    3. Before Jan 1, 2029#376%
    #4 Before Apr 1, 202863%#5 Before Oct 1, 202862%+7 more
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2031
    Volume
    $287.2K
    24h
    $3.0K
    Outcomes
    12
    kalshi1 venue · 12 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Before Jan 1, 203080%
    • Before Jan 1, 203178%
    • Before Jan 1, 202976%
    • Before Apr 1, 202863%
    • Before Oct 1, 202862%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Before Apr 1, 202724h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Before Jan 1, 2030$5.5K vol80%—kalshi80¢82¢ after fees
    Before Jan 1, 2031$10.2K vol78%—kalshi78¢80¢ after fees
    Before Jan 1, 2029$4.2K vol76%▼ 1kalshi77¢79¢ after fees
    Before Apr 1, 2028$21.3K vol63%▼ 1kalshi64¢66¢ after fees
    Before Oct 1, 2028$13.5K vol62%▼ 1kalshi63¢65¢ after fees
    Before Jul 1, 2028$7.7K vol61%▼ 1kalshi62¢64¢ after fees
    Before Jan 1, 2028$31.6K vol56%▼ 1kalshi56¢58¢ after fees
    Before Oct 1, 2027$46.3K vol38%▼ 1kalshi40¢42¢ after fees
    Before Jul 1, 2027$49.0K vol27%▼ 2kalshi28¢30¢ after fees
    Before Apr 1, 2027$38.3K vol14%▼ 4kalshi16¢17¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

    Loading trades…

    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, January 1, 2031
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

    More in Science & Tech

    All Science & Tech