When will any company achieve AGI?
When will any company achieve AGI? Live odds across 12 markets: Before Jan 1, 2030 at 89¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2031. Not financial advice.
Resolves Jan 1, 2031
- Before Jan 1, 2027: Yes 24¢ (kalshi)
- Before Oct 1, 2028: Yes 81¢ (kalshi)
- Before Jul 1, 2028: Yes 79¢ (kalshi)
- Before Jan 1, 2029: Yes 86¢ (kalshi)
- Before Jan 1, 2030: Yes 89¢ (kalshi)
- Before Apr 1, 2027: Yes 42¢ (kalshi)
- Before Oct 1, 2027: Yes 59¢ (kalshi)
- Before Apr 1, 2028: Yes 78¢ (kalshi)
- Before Jul 1, 2027: Yes 52¢ (kalshi)
- Before Jan 1, 2031: Yes 88¢ (kalshi)
- Before Jan 1, 2028: Yes 79¢ (kalshi)
- Before Oct 1, 2026: Yes 5¢ (kalshi)
TRADING OPEN
8sWhen will any company achieve AGI?
Resolves Jan 1, 2031
Total Volume
$132.6K
+$42 (24h)
Active Markets
12
Across 1 platforms
Frontrunner
89¢
Before Jan 1, 2030
Biggest Mover 24h
-4¢
Before Jan 1, 2029
Arb Opportunities
0
None detected
All Markets
| # | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 89¢ | 89¢ | $3.5K | -3¢ | — | |
| 2 | 88¢ | 88¢ | $6.7K | -4¢ | — | |
| 3 | 86¢ | 86¢ | $3.7K | -4¢ | — | |
| 4 | 81¢ | 81¢ | $3.4K | -1¢ | — | |
| 5 | 79¢ | 79¢ | $4.7K | -3¢ | — | |
| 6 | 79¢ | 79¢ | $12.8K | -2¢ | — | |
| 7 | 78¢ | 78¢ | $5.9K | -2¢ | — | |
| 8 | 59¢ | 59¢ | $17.0K | -2¢ | — | |
| 9 | 52¢ | 52¢ | $15.6K | -1¢ | — | |
| 10 | 42¢ | 42¢ | $10.3K | -1¢ | — | |
| 11 | 24¢ | 24¢ | $20.1K+$42 24h | -2¢ | — | |
| 12 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $28.9K | — | — |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsEvent Info
Whale Activity
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