When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Apr 1, 2028

54% chance

Yes54%

Buy Yes56¢58¢ after fees

No46%

Buy No48¢50¢ after fees

Resolves: Mar 31, 2028
Volume: $20.4K
24h: $301

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes54%—56¢

56¢58¢ after fees

No46%—48¢

48¢50¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 56¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: When will any company achieve AGI?
Resolves: Fri, March 31, 2028