When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Jul 1, 2028

60% chance

Yes60%

Buy Yes62¢64¢ after fees

No40%

Buy No42¢44¢ after fees

Resolves: Jun 30, 2028
Volume: $7.7K
24h: $0

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes60%—62¢

62¢64¢ after fees

No40%—42¢

42¢44¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 62¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: When will any company achieve AGI?
Resolves: Fri, June 30, 2028