US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...? — November 6

99% chance

Yes99%

Buy Yes99¢no fee

No1%

Buy No1¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $784.5K
24h: $266.4K
Liquidity: $49.6K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes99%—99¢

99¢no fee

No1%—1¢

1¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 99¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surfa…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026