US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...? — November 5
>99% chance
Yes>99%—
No<1%—
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- Volume
- $258.2K
- 24h
- $38.9K
- Liquidity
- $56.2K
Listed on 1 venueChance over time
Yes price, by venuePolymarket USCFTC-regulatedDeposit $10, get $25
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Signals
Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.
Every venue’s price
No venue is quoting this market right now.
How each venue settles it
Polymarket (global)
This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surfa…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗About this market
- Category
- Politics
- Resolves
- Thu, December 31, 2026
Compared across 1 venueIn the news
Discussion
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