Geopolitics

    Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by...?

    December 31, 2027 leads by 9 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+

    1. December 31, 2027#128%
    2. June 30, 2027#219%
    3. December 31, 2026#37%
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2027
    Volume
    $243.2K
    24h
    $10.7K
    Candidates
    3
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 3 markets

    Who’s winning

    • December 31, 202728%
    • June 30, 202719%
    • December 31, 20267%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    December 31, 2027$60.5K vol28%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US30¢no fee
    June 30, 2027$1.8K vol19%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US20¢no fee
    December 31, 2026$180.9K vol7%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US9¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, December 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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