Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by...? — June 30, 2027

    19% chance

    Yes19%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes20¢no fee
    No81%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo82¢no fee
    Resolves
    Jun 30, 2027
    Volume
    $1.8K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $4.2K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

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    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes19%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US20¢no fee
    No81%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US82¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 20¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regard…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, June 30, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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