Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by...? — December 31, 2026

7% chance

Yes7%

Buy Yes9¢no fee

No93%

Buy No94¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $180.9K
24h: $763
Liquidity: $20.5K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes7%—9¢

9¢no fee

No93%—94¢

94¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 9¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, re…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026