Geopolitics

    Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...?

    December 31 leads by 14 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. December 31#131%
    2. November 30#217%
    3. November 15#33%
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $208.6K
    24h
    $208.6K
    Candidates
    3
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 3 markets

    Who’s winning

    • December 3131%
    • November 3017%
    • November 153%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    December 31$53.5K vol31%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US31¢no fee
    November 30$70.9K vol17%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US17¢no fee
    November 15$84.1K vol3%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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