Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...? — December 31

31% chance

Yes31%

Buy Yes31¢no fee

No69%

Buy No70¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $53.5K
24h: $53.5K
Liquidity: $105.6K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes31%—31¢

31¢no fee

No70%—70¢

70¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 31¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an energy ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An energy ceasefire refers to a mutually agreed arrangement under which both Russia and Ukraine commit to suspend strikes on at least one specific, defined category of the other country's energy infrastr…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026