Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...? — November 30

    17% chance

    Yes17%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes17¢no fee
    No83%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo84¢no fee
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $70.9K
    24h
    $70.9K
    Liquidity
    $99.2K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes17%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US17¢no fee
    No84%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US84¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 17¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an energy ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An energy ceasefire refers to a mutually agreed arrangement under which both Russia and Ukraine commit to suspend strikes on at least one specific, defined category of the other country's energy infrastr…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

    In the news

    Discussion

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In

    More in Politics

    All Politics