Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Jan 1, 2029 leads by 1 pt · 8 candidates at 5%+

Before Jan 1, 2029#185%▼ 2Yes85¢86¢ after fees
Before Jul 1, 2028#284%▲ 1Yes85¢86¢ after fees
Before Jan 1, 2028#375%▲ 1Yes75¢77¢ after fees

#4 Before Oct 1, 202766%#5 Before Jul 1, 202764%+5 more

Resolves: Jan 1, 2029
Volume: $3.1M
24h: $518.9K
Candidates: 10

1 venue · 11 markets

Who’s winning

Top 5, each at its busiest venue

Before Jan 1, 202985%
Before Jul 1, 202884%
Before Jan 1, 202875%
Before Oct 1, 202766%
Before Jul 1, 202764%

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Signals

1 signal

Before Feb 1, 202724h
▼ 8¢ in 24h

Every candidate, every venue

1 venue

Chance

Best

Before Jan 1, 2029$10.5K vol85%▼ 285¢

85¢86¢ after fees

Before Jul 1, 2028$11.0K vol84%▲ 185¢

85¢86¢ after fees

Before Jan 1, 2028$15.5K vol75%▲ 175¢

75¢77¢ after fees

Before Oct 1, 2027$20.8K vol66%▲ 166¢

66¢68¢ after fees

Before Jul 1, 2027$51.5K vol64%▲ 264¢

64¢66¢ after fees

Before Apr 1, 2027$236.8K vol56%—57¢

57¢59¢ after fees

Before Feb 1, 2027$350.5K vol32%▼ 832¢

32¢34¢ after fees

Before Jan 1, 2027$775.0K vol14%—14¢

14¢15¢ after fees

Before Dec 1, 2026$1.2M vol5%—5¢

5¢6¢ after fees

Before Nov 16, 2026$287.5K vol2%—2¢

2¢3¢ after fees

Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

Smart money

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In the news

About this market

Category: Politics
Resolves: Mon, January 1, 2029

Compared across 1 venue

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