Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jan 1, 2027

14% chance

Yes14%

Buy Yes14¢15¢ after fees

No86%

Buy No87¢88¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes14%—14¢

14¢15¢ after fees

No87%—87¢

87¢88¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 14¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.