Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Apr 1, 2027

56% chance

Yes56%

Buy Yes57¢59¢ after fees

No44%

Buy No45¢47¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes56%—57¢

57¢59¢ after fees

No44%—45¢

45¢47¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 57¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.