Will Pete Hegseth be impeached in 2026?

    Before Jul 1, 2027 leads by 10 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. Before Jul 1, 2027#170%
    2. Before Apr 1, 2027#260%
    3. Before Jan 1, 2027#33%
    Resolves
    Jul 1, 2027
    Volume
    $1.2M
    24h
    $423.9K
    Liquidity
    $222.7K
    Candidates
    3
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USpredictit4 venues · 3 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Before Jul 1, 202770%
    • Before Apr 1, 202760%
    • Before Jan 1, 20273%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Before Jul 1, 202724h
      ▼ 7¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    2. Before Apr 1, 202724h
      ▼ 7¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    3. Before Apr 1, 202724h
      9¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    4 venues
    ChanceBest
    Before Jul 1, 2027$82.0K vol70%▼ 7kalshi71¢73¢ after fees
    Before Apr 1, 2027$106.7K vol · 9¢ apart60%▼ 7kalshi66¢68¢ after fees
    Before Jan 1, 2027$1.0M vol3%—Polymarket US4¢fee unknown

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Before Apr 1, 20279¢buy kalshi
    • Before Jan 1, 20272¢buy Polymarket US
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • PredictIt
    • Polymarket US
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Pete Hegseth is formally impeached before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. I…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Pete Hegseth Impeached?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗
    predictitPredictIt

    Will Pete Hegseth be impeached in 2026?

    Full rules on PredictIt ↗

    About this market

    Will Pete Hegseth be impeached in 2026?

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, July 1, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USpredictitCompared across 4 venues

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