Will Pete Hegseth be impeached in 2026? — Before Jan 1, 2027

    3% chance

    Yes3%Polymarket USYes4¢fee unknown
    No97%Polymarket USNo97¢fee unknown
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $1.0M
    24h
    $388.3K
    Liquidity
    $161.9K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USpredictitListed on 4 venues

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    4 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes3%—Polymarket US4¢fee unknown
    No97%—Polymarket US97¢fee unknown

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 3¢: exit costs ~0.12¢/contract
    Polymarket USPolymarket USat 4¢: Fees unavailable
    KalshiKalshiat 4¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    PredictItPredictItat 2¢: Fees unavailable
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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Pete Hegseth is formally impeached before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Pete Hegseth Impeached?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗
    predictitPredictIt

    Will Pete Hegseth be impeached in 2026?

    Full rules on PredictIt ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USpredictitCompared across 4 venues

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