Will Pete Hegseth be impeached in 2026? — June 30, 2027

70% chance · down 7 pts today

Yes70%▼ 7

Buy Yes71¢73¢ after fees

No30%▲ 7

Buy No31¢33¢ after fees

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027
Volume: $82.0K
24h: $10.5K
Liquidity: $27.2K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
▼ 7¢ in 24h

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes70%▼ 771¢71¢

71¢73¢ after fees

No30%▲ 731¢30¢

31¢33¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 71¢: exit costs ~0.82¢/contract

Kalshiat 71¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

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How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Pete Hegseth is formally impeached before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. I…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will Pete Hegseth be impeached in 2026?
Resolves: Wed, June 30, 2027