Movies

    Next James Bond actor?

    Robert Pattinson leads by 33 pts · 4 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Robert Pattinson#158%
    2. Callum Turner#225%
    3. Jack Lowden#318%
    #4 No Bond chosen6%#5 Nicholas Hoult5%+34 more
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2030
    Volume
    $7.1M
    24h
    $223.6K
    Liquidity
    $490.2K
    Outcomes
    39
    kalshicryptocomPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US4 venues · 39 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Robert Pattinson58%
    • Callum Turner25%
    • Jack Lowden18%
    • No Bond chosen6%
    • Nicholas Hoult5%
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    Signals

    5 signals
    1. Robert Pattinson24h
      ▲ 29¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    2. Jack Lowden24h
      ▼ 12¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the UScryptocom
    3. Callum Turner24h
      ▼ 8¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshicryptocom
    4. Callum Turner24h
      17¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the UScryptocom
    5. Robert Pattinson24h
      14¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    4 venues
    ChanceBest
    Robert Pattinson$584.1K vol · 14¢ apart58%▲ 29kalshi62¢64¢ after fees
    Callum Turner$1.2M vol · 17¢ apart25%▼ 8kalshi27¢29¢ after fees
    Jack Lowden$853.7K vol · 8¢ apart18%▼ 12kalshi18¢20¢ after fees
    No Bond chosen$709.1K vol6%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢7¢ after fees
    Nicholas Hoult$138.4K vol · 6¢ apart5%▼ 2kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Josh O'Connor$475.8K vol · 6¢ apart4%▼ 5kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Aaron Pierre$60.6K vol · 5¢ apart4%—kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    Charlie Hunnam$22.3K vol · 5¢ apart4%▼ 4kalshi3¢4¢ after fees
    Scott Rose-Marsh$23.7K vol · 5¢ apart3%▼ 4kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Henry Ashton$22.0K vol · 5¢ apart3%▼ 4kalshi2¢3¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Callum Turner17¢buy kalshi
    • Robert Pattinson14¢buy kalshi
    • Jack Lowden8¢buy kalshi
    • Nicholas Hoult6¢buy kalshi
    • Josh O'Connor6¢buy kalshi
    • Aaron Pierre5¢buy kalshi
    • Charlie Hunnam5¢buy kalshi
    • Scott Rose-Marsh5¢buy kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Crypto.com
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

    Loading trades…

    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Robert Pattinson is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    cryptocomCrypto.com

    Next James Bond Film: Actor Cast as James Bond

    Full rules on Crypto.com ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resol…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Next James Bond Actor?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Tue, January 1, 2030
    kalshicryptocomPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 4 venues

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