Next James Bond actor? — Nicholas Hoult

5% chance · down 2 pts today

Yes5%▼ 2

Buy Yes7¢8¢ after fees

No95%▲ 2

Buy No94¢95¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 30, 2026
Volume: $164.2K
24h: $25.0K
Liquidity: $12.9K

Listed on 3 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
6¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

3 venues

Chance

Best

Yes5%▼ 27¢3¢9¢

7¢8¢ after fees

No95%▲ 294¢97¢99¢

94¢95¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 3¢: exit costs ~0.14¢/contract

Kalshiat 7¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Crypto.comat 9¢: exit costs ~0.57¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Nicholas Hoult is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resol…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

Crypto.com

Next James Bond Film: Actor Cast as James Bond

Full rules on Crypto.com ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Next James Bond actor?
Resolves: Wed, December 30, 2026