Next James Bond actor? — Callum Turner

    28% chance · down 5 pts today

    Yes28%▼ 5Polymarket USYes30¢fee unknown
    No72%▲ 5kalshiNo70¢72¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $1.2M
    24h
    $62.2K
    Liquidity
    $5.6K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket UScryptocomListed on 4 venues

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Yes24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshicryptocom
    2. Yes24h
      11¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the UScryptocom

    Every venue’s price

    4 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes28%▼ 5Polymarket US30¢fee unknown
    No72%▲ 5kalshi70¢72¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 25¢: exit costs ~0.94¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 31¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Crypto.comCrypto.comat 36¢: exit costs ~1.61¢/contract
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Callum Turner is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resol…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Next James Bond Actor?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗
    cryptocomCrypto.com

    Next James Bond Film: Actor Cast as James Bond

    Full rules on Crypto.com ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket UScryptocomCompared across 4 venues

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