Next James Bond actor? — Robert Pattinson

29% chance

Yes29%

Buy Yes34¢36¢ after fees

No71%

Buy No67¢69¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 30, 2026
Volume: $496.4K
24h: $37.7K
Liquidity: $4.0K

Listed on 3 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
19¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

3 venues

Chance

Best

Yes29%—34¢15¢46¢

34¢36¢ after fees

No71%—67¢86¢88¢

67¢69¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 15¢: exit costs ~0.64¢/contract

Kalshiat 34¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Robert Pattinson is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resol…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

Polymarket US

Next James Bond Actor?

Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Next James Bond actor?
Resolves: Wed, December 30, 2026