Geopolitics

    Next Israeli government formed by...?

    June 30, 2027 leads by 16 pts · 4 candidates at 5%+

    1. June 30, 2027#187%
    2. February 28, 2027#271%
    3. December 31, 2026#339%
    #4 November 30, 20269%
    Resolves
    Jun 30, 2027
    Volume
    $252.4K
    24h
    $10.2K
    Candidates
    4
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 4 markets

    Who’s winning

    • June 30, 202787%
    • February 28, 202771%
    • December 31, 202639%
    • November 30, 20269%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. December 31, 202624h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. February 28, 202724h
      ▲ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. June 30, 202724h
      ▲ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    June 30, 2027$45.5K vol87%▲ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US87¢87¢ after fees
    February 28, 2027$38.4K vol71%▲ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US77¢78¢ after fees
    December 31, 2026$60.4K vol39%▼ 5Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US44¢45¢ after fees
    November 30, 2026$107.6K vol9%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US9¢9¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, June 30, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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