Next Israeli government formed by...? — February 28, 2027

    71% chance

    Yes71%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes77¢78¢ after fees
    No29%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo35¢36¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Feb 28, 2027
    Volume
    $38.4K
    24h
    $547
    Liquidity
    $8.4K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes71%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US77¢78¢ after fees
    No29%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US35¢36¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 77¢: exit costs ~0.71¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe. Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequ…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, February 28, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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