Next Israeli government formed by...? — December 31, 2026

39% chance

Yes39%

Buy Yes44¢45¢ after fees

No61%

Buy No67¢68¢ after fees

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027
Volume: $60.4K
24h: $402
Liquidity: $25.7K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes39%—44¢

44¢45¢ after fees

No62%—67¢

67¢68¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 44¢: exit costs ~0.99¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe. Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequ…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Next Israeli government formed by...?
Resolves: Wed, June 30, 2027