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    Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2030
    Total Volume

    $34.8K

    +$12 (24h)

    Active Markets

    13

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    46¢

    No Next Chancellor before 2028

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -6¢

    Markus Söder

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    13 markets · Showing 13
    #
    1
    No Next Chancellor before 2028
    		46¢46¢
    $27.2K+$2 24h
    		-2¢—
    2
    Hendrik Wüst
    		26¢26¢
    $1.9K
    		——
    3
    Markus Söder
    		16¢16¢
    $2.4K+$10 24h
    		-6¢—
    4
    Boris Pistorius
    		9¢9¢
    $683
    		-1¢—
    5
    Alice Weidel
    		4¢4¢
    $429
    		-2¢—
    6
    Heidi Reichinnek
    		3¢3¢
    $238
    		-2¢—
    7
    Felix Banaszak
    		3¢3¢
    $448
    		-3¢—
    8
    Sahra Wagenknecht
    		3¢3¢
    $228
    		-3¢—
    9
    Katharina Dröge
    		1¢1¢
    $263
    		——
    10
    Carsten Linnemann
    		1¢1¢
    $236
    		——
    11
    Tino Chrupalla
    		1¢1¢
    $228
    		-5¢—
    12
    Lars Klingbeil
    		1¢1¢
    $264
    		——
    13
    Jens Spahn
    		1¢1¢
    $238
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1No Next Chancellor before 2028
    46%
    46¢-2¢
    2Hendrik Wüst
    26%
    26¢—
    3Markus Söder
    16%
    16¢-6¢
    4Boris Pistorius
    9¢-1¢
    5Alice Weidel
    4¢-2¢
    6Heidi Reichinnek
    3¢-2¢
    7Felix Banaszak
    3¢-3¢
    8Sahra Wagenknecht
    3¢-3¢
    9Katharina Dröge
    1¢—
    10Carsten Linnemann
    1¢—
    11Tino Chrupalla
    1¢-5¢
    12Lars Klingbeil
    1¢—
    13Jens Spahn
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2030

    ~1196 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    13
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $34.8K

    Whale Activity

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