Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028? — Markus Söder

11% chance

Yes11%

Buy Yes11¢11¢ after fees

No89%

Buy No90¢90¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2029
Volume: $4.6K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $26.0K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Deposit $10, get $25

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes11%—11¢

11¢11¢ after fees

No89%—90¢

90¢90¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 11¢: exit costs ~0.39¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025. This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
Resolves: Mon, December 31, 2029