Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028? — Hendrik Wüst

    14% chance

    Yes14%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes14¢14¢ after fees
    No86%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo87¢87¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2029
    Volume
    $9.2K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $39.1K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes14%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US14¢14¢ after fees
    No87%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US87¢87¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 14¢: exit costs ~0.48¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025. This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Mon, December 31, 2029
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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