Next Brazilian Minister of Finance?
Geraldo Alckmin leads by 6 pts · 5 candidates at 5%+
Geraldo Alckmin#1Geraldo Alckmin26%▼ 19- Dario Durigan#2Dario Durigan20%▼ 30
- Rafael Fonteles#3Rafael Fonteles14%▼ 2
- Resolves
- Jul 1, 2027
- Volume
- $15.0K
- 24h
- $328
- Liquidity
- $12.7K
- Candidates
- 13
2 venues · 13 marketsWho’s winning
Top 5, each at its busiest venue- Geraldo Alckmin26%
- Dario Durigan20%
- Rafael Fonteles14%
- Fernando Haddad9%
- Bruno Moretti6%
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Signals
5 signals- Dario Durigan24h▼ 30¢ in 24h
- Geraldo Alckmin24h▼ 19¢ in 24h
- Fernando Haddad24h▼ 6¢ in 24h
- Dario Durigan24h7¢ apart across venues
- Fernando Haddad24h7¢ apart across venues
Every candidate, every venue
2 venuesYes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.
In the news
How each venue settles it
Kalshi
If Geraldo Alckmin formally takes office as Minister of Finance as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules on Kalshi ↗Polymarket (global)
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Minister of Finance (Ministro da Fazenda) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Minister of Finance at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗About this market
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Minister of Finance (Ministro da Fazenda) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Minister of Finance at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or retained in that position at the start of the new term will count as assuming office in that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Finance will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Finance” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Finance are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Finance assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Category
- Politics
- Resolves
- Thu, July 1, 2027
Compared across 2 venues