Next Brazilian Minister of Finance? — Gabriel Galípolo

    5% chance · down 3 pts today

    Yes5%▼ 3kalshiYes7¢8¢ after fees
    No95%▲ 3kalshiNo99¢100¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Feb 28, 2027
    Volume
    $831
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $633
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 2 venues

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes5%▼ 3kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    No95%▲ 3kalshi99¢100¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 7¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 8¢: exit costs ~0.3¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Gabriel Galípolo formally takes office as Minister of Finance as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Minister of Finance (Ministro da Fazenda) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Minister of Finance at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, February 28, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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