Next Brazilian Minister of Finance? — Rafael Fonteles

14% chance · down 2 pts today

Yes14%▼ 2

Buy Yes21¢23¢ after fees

No86%▲ 2

Buy No89¢90¢ after fees

Resolves: Feb 28, 2027
Volume: $4.7K
24h: $5
Liquidity: $3.3K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
5¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes14%▼ 221¢16¢

21¢23¢ after fees

No86%▲ 289¢88¢

89¢90¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 16¢: exit costs ~0.54¢/contract

Kalshiat 21¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Rafael Fonteles formally takes office as Minister of Finance as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Minister of Finance (Ministro da Fazenda) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Minister of Finance at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Next Brazilian Minister of Finance?
Resolves: Sun, February 28, 2027