Weather

    How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

    8 leads by 48 pts · 3 outcomes at 5%+

    1. 8#169%
    2. Greater than 8#221%
    3. 7#39%
    #4 61%#5 Fewer than 5<1%+1 more
    Resolves
    Jun 30, 2027
    Volume
    $244.4K
    24h
    $1.6K
    Outcomes
    6
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 6 markets

    Who’s winning

    • 869%
    • Greater than 821%
    • 79%
    • 61%
    • Fewer than 5<1%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. 724h
      ▼ 48¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Greater than 824h
      ▲ 9¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. 824h
      ▲ 7¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    8$54.7K vol69%▲ 7Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US78¢79¢ after fees
    Greater than 8$69.1K vol21%▲ 9Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US28¢29¢ after fees
    7$90.0K vol9%▼ 48Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US14¢15¢ after fees
    6$9.8K vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Fewer than 5$9.3K vol<1%——
    5$11.3K vol<1%——

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, June 30, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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