How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

    How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? Live odds across 6 markets: 8 at 67¢. Resolves Jun 30, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jun 30, 2027

    • Greater than 8: Yes 21¢ (polymarket)
    • 8: Yes 67¢ (polymarket)
    • 7: Yes 15¢ (polymarket)
    • Fewer than 5: Yes 0¢ (polymarket)
    • 5: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    • 6: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

    Resolves Jun 30, 2027
    Total Volume

    $46.6K

    +$9.6K (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    67¢

    8

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -47¢

    Greater than 8

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 markets · Showing 6
    #
    1
    —
    8
    		67¢67¢
    $10.4K+$1.8K 24h
    		+40¢—
    2
    —
    Greater than 8📈 Trending
    		21¢21¢
    $21.4K+$6.8K 24h
    		-47¢—
    3
    —
    7📈 Trending
    		15¢15¢
    $5.5K+$982 24h
    		+9¢—
    4
    —
    5
    		1¢1¢
    $4.5K
    		——
    5
    —
    6
    		1¢1¢
    $3.3K
    		——
    6
    —
    Fewer than 5
    		0¢0¢
    $1.5K
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    18
    67%
    67¢+40¢
    2Greater than 8
    21%
    21¢-47¢
    37
    15%
    15¢+9¢
    45
    1¢—
    56
    1¢—
    6Fewer than 5
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jun 30, 2027

    ~289 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $46.6K

    Whale Activity

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