How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? — 8

69% chance

Yes69%

Buy Yes78¢79¢ after fees

No31%

Buy No41¢42¢ after fees

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027
Volume: $54.7K
24h: $166
Liquidity: $1.2K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes69%—78¢

78¢79¢ after fees

No31%—41¢

41¢42¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 78¢: exit costs ~0.86¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve based on the total number of tropical cyclones recorded making landfall in China during the calendar year 2026 as published on the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) Tropical Cyclone Data Center "Landfalling TCs" page (https://tcdata.typhoon.org.cn/en/dlrdqx.html) in the annual Best Track Dataset update for 2026. All landfalling tropical cyclones listed by the CMA on that page count t…

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About this market

Category: Culture
Event: How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
Resolves: Wed, June 30, 2027