How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? — Fewer than 5
<1% chance
Yes<1%—
No>99%—
- Resolves
- Jun 30, 2027
- Volume
- $9.3K
- 24h
- $100
- Liquidity
- $1.8K
Listed on 1 venueChance over time
Yes price, by venuePolymarket USCFTC-regulatedDeposit $10, get $25
Trading bonus for new sign-ups.
Claim offer 1 / 5
Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER
Signals
Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.
Every venue’s price
No venue is quoting this market right now.
How each venue settles it
Polymarket (global)
This market will resolve based on the total number of tropical cyclones recorded making landfall in China during the calendar year 2026 as published on the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) Tropical Cyclone Data Center "Landfalling TCs" page (https://tcdata.typhoon.org.cn/en/dlrdqx.html) in the annual Best Track Dataset update for 2026. All landfalling tropical cyclones listed by the CMA on that page count t…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗About this market
- Category
- Culture
- Resolves
- Wed, June 30, 2027
Compared across 1 venueIn the news
Discussion
Sign in to join the discussion
Sign In